SCLegacy SC2Ranks Division Discussion

[imdrunkontea]

You know what's ironic, I did some 2v2s a few days ago, and despite picking Random for all eleven games I played that day, I never got Terran even ONCE.

Can someone who knows how to do probability math tell me what the odds of that are?

I think (I'm no stats major) that it's .67^11, or 1%.

[evillesh]

I just totally dominated the #40th ranked player in the world

Proof pic or it didn't happen

Had a bad day yesterday. Guess it's a bad idea to ladder at night after boring university before sleep >.>

[Skyze]

speaking of random.. I played some games with a buddy last week.. and I swear to god, he randomed and got protoss 9 times in a row! It was pretty insane.

[Skyze]

Proof pic or it didn't happen

Had a bad day yesterday. Guess it's a bad idea to ladder at night after boring university before sleep >.>

Here.

It wasnt a great game, he had an expo up for awhile (plus mules, so insane) so thats why he had more resources, but I steamrolled him before it got out of hand, which is why I won the units/structures count.

[Xeonio]

You know what's ironic, I did some 2v2s a few days ago, and despite picking Random for all eleven games I played that day, I never got Terran even ONCE.

Can someone who knows how to do probability math tell me what the odds of that are?

It is 33.3% each time. It's a common logical fallacy among gamblers. The odds don't change from game to game simply because of the last game played.

A coin flip is 50 / 50 but you could still end up getting tails 100 out of 100 flips. Each flip doesn't increase (or decrease) the odds of getting one side or the other.

[imdrunkontea]

but the odds of getting that many in a row is much less than 33.3 % (or 66.7%, since it's all choices but Terran).

I played another 2 random matches, got zerg both times again. so that's 7 or 8 times zerg now...

[protoswarrior]

Hey Gradius! Can you add me please?

I'm at platinum rank 66, 40points, 6-0.

What do you need to post me on there?

Anyone?

How do I get posted on that list, please?

[evillesh]

Anyone?

How do I get posted on that list, please?

Read this.

[Gradius]

Hey Gradius! Can you add me please?

I'm at platinum rank 66, 40points, 6-0.

What do you need to post me on there?

Send me your sc2ranks profile - your b.net 2 profile gives an error.

[GRUNT]

Took some time to count, but the odd thing is, I noticed that when I started to "win hard" on the other races, I started playing the off race. That or maybe I just remember it more cause I didn't want to play the off race, ya know?

From your experiences, imdrunkontea's and mine's, the only logical conclusion which a rational individual can come to is...CONSPIRACY!

It is 33.3% each time. It's a common logical fallacy among gamblers. The odds don't change from game to game simply because of the last game played.

A coin flip is 50 / 50 but you could still end up getting tails 100 out of 100 flips. Each flip doesn't increase (or decrease) the odds of getting one side or the other.

What imdrunkontea said .

The odds of getting Terran is 33.3% each game, but the odds of that 33.3% NOT occuring for 11 games in a row is about 1.16% .