I am expecting it to hit around June, it may release a touch earlier than that though depending on how smoothly the beta goes. Cataclysm wont be released until November (they are releasing one more content patch before the Cataclysm patch), so that is pretty much no competition there. The WotLK beta did last around 4 months or so, but thats a different story altogether since it is an expansion of an existing game.
The Warcraft 3 beta lasted 4-4.5 months (come to think of it, war3 beta started about this time of year and was released july 3rd, may be a good indicator)





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