That's an interesting perspective to take but I'm still more inclined to think Mengsks speech to the Magistrate is still more of him exploiting the situation than it is about Mengsk reading the guy (and by extension being a good reader of other people in general). The large reason being is that there is no interaction between Mengsk and the Magistrate. And no, it's not just because it's impossible due the Magistrate being the player character and the game not being an RPG. It's essentially because Mengsk comes out nowhere, makes a declarative speech and then expects whoever listens to accept his reasoning. There's no "reading of the magistrate" to be had. What Mengsk has done instead is read the situation before making that speech to the magistrate: He knows that a magistrate is responsible for people and has some sway/authority over them, that the Confederates have abandoned them and then subsequently left for dead to the Zerg. This is an ample opportunity for him to swoop in.
Whilst you say that this approach is different when it comes to Duke, it is and it isn't. If want to look at him reading the person (which is harder to gain evidence to suggest so), then sure, you can see it as different approach but I somewhat beg to differ. Duke's situation is actually very similar to the Magistrate's in Desperate Alliance as I described above. You'll also see that Mengsk's first approach to Duke is similar to the one he gives the magistrate in that he's trying to impart "reason" on a guy that he assumes will listen to it. He gets rebuffed and then starts getting annoyed and then tries to force an ultimatum and then finally gets him to come around by making a deal/exchange with him. Sure, you could say the fact that he got him onboard eventually was due to Mengsk being able to read Duke eventually, but that Mengsk had to negotiate does not necessarily mean he's good at reading people.
Not really. I'm not an expert reader of people but I can clearly say that Raynor is not a very difficult man to read. He showed more vehemence to Mengsk's proposed actions than Kerrigan did and yet Kerrigan is the one consigned to a suicide mission on the possible implication that she has or will become a liability (I'm ignoring the true reason from the EU here mind you) and Raynor is not? This does not speak of a person who's really that good at reading people and making choices/acting off that ability. Seems more to me that he's reading people wrongly but instead perhaps reading the situation in a utilitarian way (which would seem correct to Mengsk) instead.
This all sounds good but a part of me still feels where ascribing too much regard for Mengsk and his supposed ability to cut people with his intimate knowledge of people on just this one quote. Recent history does not indicate he's that good.
You're not the only one who wants to forget Mengsk's behaviour in BW but unfortunately, this is what we have and it suggests he's not good at reading people at all. Continuity can be the devil in this circumstance.
As to Mengsk in Sc2, his depiction as a whole is such a caricature that not even that one line in WoL you like can save him. I'm of the opinion that's why he "had" to eventually die in the narrative because it was the one development that people could still possibly care about for the character, if at all. I feel the same way about why Zeratul had to die in LotV as well.




. I do believe that the writers should be allowed to move past those bad decisions, but even if you don't, there's no shortage of bad Arcturus moments in StarCraft II either, sadly.
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